RNC Injects $50M Into Midterm Races To Defend Majorities
The Republican National Committee transfers funds to groups boosting GOP candidates in the final two weeks before Election Day.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 08:37 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 5% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Oct, 19:33 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 05:07 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 3% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 20 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 20 October at 17:14 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Republican Party — the market puts it at 2%, with $57 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Republicans lose their majority in the U.S. House of Representatives between now and November 3, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but only the official election results after November 3, 2026, determine the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Republican Party 2% −2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Republican National Committee
- New York Times