Philippines Announces Bounty on Senator Ronald dela Rosa Wanted by ICC Hot: Odds moved 18 points in 24 hours
The Philippine government has placed a US$786,000 bounty on Senator Ronald dela Rosa, who is wanted by the International Criminal Court for alleged crimes against humanity.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 09:14 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 54% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 80% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 46% |
| 18 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 38% |
| 17 Oct, 23:10 UTC | 31% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 23 Oct 2026. News - South China Morning Post published first, on 23 October at 09:53 UTC; ABC News followed 55 min later. The most recent article, from ABC News, appeared on 23 October at 10:48 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), News - South China Morning Post.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 56%, with $654 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Sara Duterte ceases to hold the office of Vice President of the Philippines before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if she remains in that role through the end of that date. Readers often mistake the dropping of impeachment charges for leaving office, but only her actual departure from the position counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 56% +18
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In this story
- Philippines
- Ronald dela Rosa
- International Criminal Court