Oregon Football Suffers Second Loss to UCLA, Becoming College Football's Biggest Disappointment
The Ducks' defeat exposes major concerns on both sides of the ball after entering the season as national title favorites.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 22:48 UTC | 37% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 11 Oct 2026. CBS Sports Headlines published first, on 11 October at 00:06 UTC; SI Feed followed 23h 29m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 11 October at 23:35 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS Sports Headlines, SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- 10+ wins — the market puts it at 14%, closing 20 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Oregon college football team wins at least 10 games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than 10 games in that same period. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, which is based on the end of the 2026 regular season, not the calendar year or any playoff results.
- Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? — the market puts it at 1%, with $684 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Oregon wins the 2026-27 College Football Playoff National Championship, and No otherwise. The deadline for resolution is February 8, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, after which the market resolves to Other if no champion is declared. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but only official NCAA information or credible reporting consensus counts.
- Oregon — the market puts it at 1%, with $37k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Oregon wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No if Oregon does not win that specific game. Readers often mistake any regular-season victory, such as the recent rout of Portland State, for a resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi 10+ wins 14%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Oregon 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls