10+ wins
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves20 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 22:48 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Oregon college football team wins at least 10 games during the 2026 regular season. It resolves to No if they win fewer than 10 games in that same period. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline, which is based on the end of the 2026 regular season, not the calendar year or any playoff results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%