OpenAI Targets $1.25 Trillion Valuation in New Funding Round
The AI company seeks to raise around $30 billion as it finalizes negotiations for the new valuation.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 4 more published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 6% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 5 articles since 22 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 22 October at 23:31 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg.com, appeared on 23 October at 19:32 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? — the market puts it at 6%, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The Yes outcome occurs if OpenAI’s IPO valuation falls between $2.25 trillion and $2.5 trillion based on its final prospectus with the SEC. The No outcome applies if the valuation is outside this range or if the company does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027. Readers often mistake current funding valuations or post-listing stock prices for the official resolution metric.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? — the market puts it at 14%, with $597 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nasdaq Private Market reports a valuation of $1.5 trillion or higher on any trading day by December 31, 2026. If Nasdaq stops publishing data before that date, the resolution relies on the last available private data plus public market capitalization after an IPO.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 10%, with $207 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if OpenAI raises the price of ChatGPT Pro or Plus between December 19, 2024, and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such price increase occurs within that window. Readers often mistake the start date, which is fixed at December 19, 2024, rather than an earlier announcement or rumor.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- Bloomberg TechnologyOpenAI Shifts Value to $1.25 Trillion as Funding Talks Finalize—
- Bloomberg TechnologyOpenAI Targets $1.25 Trillion Valuation in New Funding Round—
- Bloomberg TechnologyOpenAI Moves Toward a $1.25 Trillion Value—
- Bloomberg TechnologyOpenAI Sets Target Valuation of $1.25 Trillion—
- Bloomberg.comBloomberg Tech: OpenAI En Route To $1.25T Value (Podcast)6%
- Current odds6%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Bloomberg Tech: OpenAI En Route To $1.25T Value (Podcast) Bloomberg.com ·
- OpenAI Sets Target Valuation of $1.25 Trillion Bloomberg Technology ·
- OpenAI Moves Toward a $1.25 Trillion Value Bloomberg Technology ·
- OpenAI Targets $1.25 Trillion Valuation in New Funding Round Bloomberg Technology ·
- OpenAI Shifts Value to $1.25 Trillion as Funding Talks Finalize Bloomberg Technology ·
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? 6%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? 14% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 10% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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