Obama to Campaign in Georgia With Ossoff and Bottoms Before Midterms
Former President Obama joins Democratic candidates Jon Ossoff and Keisha Lance Bottoms for a rally in Atlanta ahead of the midterm elections.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 61% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 62% |
| 22 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 56% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 51% |
| 20 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 48% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 21 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 21 October at 17:49 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win — the market puts it at 61%, with $361 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if both the Georgia Governor and Senate races are won by Democratic candidates. It resolves to No if either candidate loses or if a non-Democrat wins. Readers often mistake the linked campaign event as sufficient for resolution, but only the final election results count.
- At least 54% — the market puts it at 65%, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Jon Ossoff receives at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election. The outcome depends on the certified percentage of votes, not just early returns or polls. Readers often mistake the deadline for when results are called versus when they are officially certified.
- Jon Ossoff — the market puts it at 95%, with $45k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat takes office as a U.S. Senator from Georgia for the term starting in 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about campaign support for the actual election result.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win 61% −1
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- Kalshi At least 54% 65% +15
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- Kalshi Jon Ossoff 95%
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In this story
- Obama
- Jon Ossoff
- Keisha Lance Bottoms