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North Sea Jackdaw Gasfield Approval Delayed Until After Byelection

The UK government delays the decision on the Jackdaw gasfield until after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection, prompting Green Party accusations of political maneuvering.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 11 Sept 2026 · updated 45d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
0%50%100%0%12 Sept, 18:39 UTCnow

All 2 sources published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
9 Oct, 04:33 UTC0%
9 Oct, 02:14 UTC0%
9 Oct, 01:49 UTC1%
9 Oct, 01:22 UTC1%
9 Oct, 00:55 UTC1%
9 Oct, 00:23 UTC1%
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8 Oct, 21:56 UTC2%
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8 Oct, 20:27 UTC4%
8 Oct, 19:58 UTC4%
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8 Oct, 18:27 UTC3%
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8 Oct, 15:53 UTC4%
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7 Oct, 21:58 UTC4%
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7 Oct, 19:56 UTC4%
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7 Oct, 16:15 UTC4%
7 Oct, 15:55 UTC4%
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6 Oct, 20:30 UTC4%
6 Oct, 12:34 UTC6%
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6 Oct, 00:16 UTC7%
5 Oct, 15:42 UTC7%
5 Oct, 14:09 UTC6%
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5 Oct, 07:01 UTC9%
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4 Oct, 20:05 UTC9%
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4 Oct, 19:21 UTC10%
4 Oct, 18:47 UTC10%
4 Oct, 18:13 UTC11%
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4 Oct, 17:27 UTC12%
4 Oct, 16:12 UTC13%
4 Oct, 15:12 UTC12%
4 Oct, 14:52 UTC12%
4 Oct, 01:46 UTC14%
3 Oct, 17:14 UTC14%
2 Oct, 18:26 UTC14%
2 Oct, 15:44 UTC15%
2 Oct, 08:32 UTC14%
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2 Oct, 01:26 UTC13%
2 Oct, 00:56 UTC13%
1 Oct, 23:45 UTC13%
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1 Oct, 06:22 UTC17%
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1 Oct, 01:05 UTC15%
30 Sept, 23:47 UTC14%
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30 Sept, 22:51 UTC14%
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30 Sept, 21:39 UTC12%
30 Sept, 21:08 UTC13%
30 Sept, 20:46 UTC12%
30 Sept, 19:53 UTC13%
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30 Sept, 18:14 UTC13%
30 Sept, 13:00 UTC12%
30 Sept, 12:53 UTC13%
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25 Sept, 14:16 UTC14%
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24 Sept, 07:47 UTC12%
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22 Sept, 19:10 UTC13%
22 Sept, 18:58 UTC12%
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22 Sept, 15:17 UTC12%
22 Sept, 14:44 UTC11%
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22 Sept, 09:59 UTC11%
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22 Sept, 02:40 UTC10%
22 Sept, 02:20 UTC9%
22 Sept, 01:39 UTC9%
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22 Sept, 00:01 UTC8%
21 Sept, 23:55 UTC8%
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21 Sept, 22:15 UTC12%
21 Sept, 21:33 UTC13%
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21 Sept, 20:41 UTC12%
21 Sept, 19:48 UTC12%
21 Sept, 15:08 UTC12%
21 Sept, 14:42 UTC12%
21 Sept, 14:14 UTC12%
21 Sept, 12:43 UTC11%
21 Sept, 11:44 UTC12%
21 Sept, 09:16 UTC14%
21 Sept, 04:50 UTC14%
21 Sept, 01:35 UTC14%
21 Sept, 00:07 UTC15%
20 Sept, 23:24 UTC14%
20 Sept, 18:52 UTC14%
20 Sept, 17:29 UTC14%
20 Sept, 16:57 UTC14%
20 Sept, 15:07 UTC14%
19 Sept, 08:09 UTC14%
18 Sept, 02:12 UTC16%
18 Sept, 01:42 UTC14%
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18 Sept, 00:16 UTC15%
17 Sept, 22:28 UTC14%
17 Sept, 14:57 UTC17%
17 Sept, 14:23 UTC17%
17 Sept, 13:56 UTC16%
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17 Sept, 08:32 UTC19%
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15 Sept, 03:01 UTC23%
14 Sept, 23:16 UTC23%
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13 Sept, 00:54 UTC23%
12 Sept, 22:05 UTC23%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC22%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 11 Sept 2026. The Guardian Business published first, on 11 September at 15:50 UTC; News Feed followed 1h 00m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 11 September at 16:50 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Business (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet).

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? — resolved “No” on 9 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Zack Polanski wins the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, while No applies if he loses. Readers often mistake the June 30, 2027 deadline for the election date rather than the final cutoff for determining the winner. The result relies on official Camden Council records, not just news reports.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. UK delays Jackdaw gasfield decision until after by-election in Starmer seat News Feed ·
  2. North Sea gasfield decision likely delayed until after Holborn and St Pancras byelection The Guardian Business ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? No 18d ago

    The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Jackdaw gasfield
  • Labour
  • Greens
  • Holborn and St Pancras byelection
  • Miatta Fahnbulleh
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