Newsom Can Commute California Death Sentences And Still Become President

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 12 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 12 October at 13:00 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 9%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The outcome depends on which candidate wins the November 7, 2028 election. The market resolves when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same person. Readers often mistake the inauguration date as the only deadline, but the result relies on these three specific news sources calling the winner first.
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 14%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, based on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or withdraws before acceptance.
• Yes — the market puts it at 17%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Governor Gavin Newsom calls a new special session of the California Legislature before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of his term rather than the specific date in 2027.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.