New York Budget Deficit to Halve on Wall Street Boom
Trading profits and bonuses are expected to narrow the deficit by $3.5 billion next year.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 20:57 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 16:22 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 1% |
| 1 Nov, 05:11 UTC | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 20:21 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 2% |
| 31 Oct, 18:11 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 3% |
| 31 Oct, 01:11 UTC | 4% |
| 31 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 23:02 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 4% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 20% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 30 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 30 October at 20:55 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? — the market puts it at 1%, with $442 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The outcome depends on whether the Democratic nominee wins by a margin of at least 25 percentage points over the Republican nominee in the final, certified vote count. Readers often mistake the date of the election for the deadline, but the market resolves only after the official results are made public.
- Below $2.90 — the market puts it at 1%, closing 31 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if the average price of regular gasoline in New York falls below $2.90 by December 31, 2026. The source of truth for this price is AAA. Readers often mistake the deadline or the specific data provider.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Below $2.90 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- New York
- Wall Street