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Netflix Per-Person Engagement Declines as Subscribers Watch Less

Per-person engagement at Netflix has declined since its 2022 crackdown on password sharing, with customers opening the app on fewer days each month.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 26 Oct 2026 · updated 5h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Above 65
0%50%100%98%21 Oct, 09:00 UTCnowThe A.V. Club: Fewer subscribers are using their Netflix accounts · 27 Oct, 17:51 UTCQuartz: Netflix users are watching less as per-person engagement declines · 26 Oct, 12:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now98%
23 Oct, 15:34 UTC98%
22 Oct, 09:47 UTC94%
21 Oct, 09:00 UTC91%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 26 Oct 2026. Quartz published first, on 26 October at 12:00 UTC; The A.V. Club followed 29h 51m later. The most recent article, from The A.V. Club, appeared on 27 October at 17:51 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Quartz, The A.V. Club.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Above 65 — the market puts it at 98%, with $44 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if the number of downloads for the Carbon Arc Netflix app in October 2026 exceeds 65. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the download period; the data must come from October 2026, not any other month.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Fewer subscribers are using their Netflix accounts The A.V. Club
  2. Netflix users are watching less as per-person engagement declines Quartz

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Above 65 98% $44 24hends 8 Nov 2026

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    Wrong market?

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