Mulvaney Predicts Susie Wiles Will Leave White House After Midterms
Former chief of staff Mick Mulvaney expects current chief of staff Susie Wiles to depart on her own terms following the midterm elections.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 31% |
| 18 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 32% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 39% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 43% |
| 18 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 15% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 44% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 42% |
| 17 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 29% |
| 17 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 29% |
| 17 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 31% |
| 16 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 31% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 30% |
| 16 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 28% |
| 16 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 23% |
| 16 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 29% |
| 16 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 24% |
| 16 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 30% |
| 16 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 25% |
| 16 Oct, 17:22 UTC | 29% |
| 16 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 33% |
| 16 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 31% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 29% |
| 16 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 28% |
| 16 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 29% |
| 16 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 30% |
| 16 Oct, 01:15 UTC | 29% |
| 15 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 28% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 27% |
| 15 Oct, 17:18 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 26% |
| 15 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 34% |
| 15 Oct, 15:45 UTC | 42% |
| 15 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 18 Oct 2026. Just In News published first, on 18 October at 19:49 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Susie Wiles — the market puts it at 31%, with $675 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce her departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if she remains in the role longer than any other cabinet member or does not leave by that date.
- Susie Wiles — the market puts it at 41%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles leaves her role as Chief of Staff before 2027. The outcome is No if she remains in that position through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her daughter for the resolution criteria, but only Wiles's own departure date matters.
- Susie Wiles — the market puts it at 45%, closing 21 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump during his second term before January 21, 2029. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction about her job status rather than a specific legal action taken by the president.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Susie Wiles 31% +3
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- Kalshi Susie Wiles 41% +5
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- Kalshi Susie Wiles 45%
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In this story
- Mick Mulvaney
- Susie Wiles
- Donald Trump