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Mistral Releases Open Weights For Large 4 Coding Model

The company has made its Large 4 model, nicknamed Le Chonk, available as open weights after achieving top scores in artificial analysis benchmarks.

3 publishers · 3 articles · first seen 29 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Mistral
0%50%100%4%28 Oct, 19:48 UTCnowzdnet.com: Mistral’s Le Chonk is now the top open model for coding · 29 Oct, 14:00 UTCHacker News: Mistral Large 4 (Le Chonk) is now Open Weight · 29 Oct, 14:13 UTCHugging Face: Welcome Le Chonk: Mistral Large 4 on Hugging Face · 29 Oct, 00:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now4%
28 Oct, 19:48 UTC4%

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 29 Oct 2026. Hugging Face published first, on 29 October at 00:00 UTC; zdnet.com followed 14h 01m later. The most recent article, from Hacker News, appeared on 29 October at 14:13 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Hugging Face, zdnet.com, Hacker News.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Mistral — the market puts it at 4%, with $234 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Mistral holds the top ranking for an AI model before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release of a new model for achieving the #1 rank.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Mistral at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Hugging FaceWelcome Le Chonk: Mistral Large 4 on Hugging Face4%
  2. zdnet.comMistral’s Le Chonk is now the top open model for coding4%
  3. Hacker NewsMistral Large 4 (Le Chonk) is now Open Weight4%
  4. Current odds4%

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Mistral’s Le Chonk is now the top open model for coding zdnet.com
  2. Mistral Large 4 (Le Chonk) is now Open Weight Hacker News
  3. Welcome Le Chonk: Mistral Large 4 on Hugging Face Hugging Face

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Kalshi Mistral 4% +1 $234 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Mistral
  • Large 4
  • Le Chonk
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