Maryland Rep Proposes Amendment To Let Voters Bypass Congress
Rep. Johnny Olszewski proposes a constitutional amendment to allow voters to pass laws directly, bypassing the legislative branch.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 20 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 69% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 21 Oct 2026. Politico Congress published first, on 21 October at 09:00 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- At least 62% — the market puts it at 69%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Johnny Olszewski receives between 62% and 100% of the popular vote in the 2026 MD-02 House election. The outcome depends on the certified percentage from that specific race. Readers often mistake the deadline for the certification date rather than the election day.
- Question 2 — the market puts it at 79%, closing 2 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Question 2 passes in Maryland. It resolves to No if it fails. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline.
- Johnny Olszewski — the market puts it at 98%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the person sworn in as the U.S. Representative for Maryland's 2nd district at the start of the 2027 term is a Democrat. It resolves to No if that representative belongs to any other party. Readers often mistake the date of the proposal or election for the actual swearing-in date.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi At least 62% 69%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Question 2 79%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Johnny Olszewski 98%
Does the market have this right?
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In this story
- Johnny Olszewski
- Congress
- Maryland