Mary Peltola Raises $17M in Alaska Senate Race

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 13 Oct 2026. Politico Congress published first, on 13 October at 12:15 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Mary Peltola, 0-3% — the market puts it at 25%, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 2 Jun 2027. The outcome is Yes if Mary Peltola’s margin of victory in the 2026 Alaska Senate election is at least 0% but less than 3%. The outcome is No if her margin of victory is 3% or higher, or if she loses the election. Readers often mistake the linked news story about campaign operations for the actual election result.
• At least 46% — the market puts it at 92%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Mary Peltola receives at least 46% of the popular vote in the final round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 46%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date the results are officially certified.
• Mary Peltola — the market puts it at 76%, with $9k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Mary Peltola wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election. The outcome is No if she does not win. Readers often mistake the source of truth for news reports rather than the official election results.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.