Mary Peltola
Implied probability 74%−4
24-hour volume$20k
Total volume$159k
Liquidity$159k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 18:09 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 17:48 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 74% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 15:32 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 15:03 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 78% |
| 22 Sept, 07:02 UTC | 73% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Mary Peltola wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election. The outcome is No if she does not win. Readers often mistake the source of truth for news reports rather than the official election results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 74%
- No 26%