Marsh's 4th-down TD lifts Indiana to comeback win over Nebraska
Nick Marsh scores a 44-yard touchdown on fourth down to give No. 7 Indiana its first lead in a 20-17 victory.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 10 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 4% |
| 9 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 2% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Nick Marsh respond.
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 10 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 10 October at 20:44 UTC; SI Feed followed 21h 28m later. The most recent article, from SI Feed, appeared on 11 October at 18:12 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), SI Feed.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Nick Marsh — the market puts it at 4%, closing 7 Jan 2027. Nick Marsh must record the most receiving yards among all Big Ten players during the 2026 college football regular season for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on official conference statistics from that specific season. Readers often mistake total career yards or playoff performance for the qualifying metric.
- Indiana — the market puts it at 8%, with $31k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 23 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Indiana wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake any regular-season or playoff victory for a win, but only the final championship game counts.
- Nebraska — the market puts it at 3%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Nebraska wins the 2026 Big Ten Championship Game. It resolves to No if any other team wins that specific game. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of the regular season standings rather than the single championship match.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Nick Marsh at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Nick Marsh 4%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Indiana 8%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Nebraska 3% +2
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In this story
- Nick Marsh
- Indiana
- Nebraska