Mamdani Urges Arsenal to Cut UAE Ties Over Sudan
New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani calls on the football club to end its sponsorship deal with the United Arab Emirates due to the conflict in Sudan.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 81% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 81% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 82% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 86% |
| 23 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 81% |
| 22 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 82% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 84% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 85% |
| 21 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 82% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 83% |
| 20 Oct, 15:51 UTC | 85% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 86% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 85% |
| 14 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 85% |
| 13 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 86% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 90% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 85% |
| 12 Oct, 13:22 UTC | 83% |
| 12 Oct, 02:59 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 84% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 86% |
| 11 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 83% |
| 10 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Oct, 02:39 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Oct, 04:00 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 84% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 83% |
| 8 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 85% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 84% |
| 8 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 83% |
| 8 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 84% |
| 8 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 80% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 79% |
| 8 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 86% |
| 8 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 79% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 86% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 85% |
| 6 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 79% |
| 5 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 76% |
| 4 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 79% |
| 4 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 82% |
| 4 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 80% |
| 4 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 83% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 79% |
| 2 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 79% |
| 2 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 80% |
| 2 Oct, 05:31 UTC | 81% |
| 2 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 78% |
| 2 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 76% |
| 2 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 71% |
| 2 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 79% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Oct, 13:38 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 76% |
| 1 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 78% |
| 1 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 80% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 79% |
| 1 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 71% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 81% |
| 30 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 89% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 74% |
| 30 Sept, 01:23 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 75% |
| 29 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 74% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 73% |
| 29 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 69% |
| 28 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 70% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 02:15 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Sept, 01:19 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 18:06 UTC | 70% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 71% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 64% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 71% |
| 26 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 70% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 62% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 71% |
| 25 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 70% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 66% |
| 24 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 60% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. The Guardian US published first, on 23 October at 14:30 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Zohran Mamdani — the market puts it at 81%, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 6 Nov 2030. The market resolves to Yes if Zohran Mamdani wins the next New York City mayoral election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about planting an olive tree for the actual election result.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 67%, with $4k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-27 English Premier League title. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific championship. Readers often mistake the linked story about Mikel Arteta’s contract for a resolution condition, but only the league title matters.
- Arsenal — the market puts it at 18%, closing 5 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Arsenal wins the 2026-2027 FA Cup. It resolves to No if they do not win that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about Chelsea ending Arsenal's unbeaten run as the resolution criteria, but only the final winner of the 2026-2027 FA Cup matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Zohran Mamdani 81% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 67% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Arsenal 18% +3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Zohran Mamdani
- Arsenal