Lessons From Britain’s Humiliating IMF Bail-Out Fifty Years On
A fiscal crisis would play out differently today than it did during the historic 1976 rescue.
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The odds
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Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 15 Oct 2026. The Economist published first, on 15 October at 09:21 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $848 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the International Monetary Fund officially declares a global recession in its World Economic Outlook reports before 2027. It resolves to No if that specific declaration does not occur within the deadline. Readers often mistake general economic downturns or news headlines for an official IMF declaration.
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- Kalshi Before 2027 3%
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In this story
- Britain
- IMF