Late Night Sends Off Trump’s Press Secretary After Just Five Days
Jimmy Fallon jokes about the short tenure of the press secretary during a late-night monologue segment.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 92% |
| 18 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 92% |
| 17 Oct, 04:19 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 20 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 20 October at 06:01 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- At least 7 days — the market puts it at 92%, closing 21 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the next White House Press Secretary serves for at least seven days before leaving the role or having their departure announced. It resolves to No if they serve fewer than seven days. Readers often mistake the date of the announcement for the end of the service period, but the clock stops when the departure is announced, not when it takes effect.
- Trump (3+ times) — the market puts it at 80%, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027. The outcome is Yes if the White House Press Secretary mentions Trump three or more times during the next official press briefing. The outcome is No if he does not reach that count in that specific event. Readers often mistake informal gaggles for official briefings, but only the scheduled briefing counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi At least 7 days 92%
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- Kalshi Trump (3+ times) 80%
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In this story
- Jimmy Fallon
- Donald Trump