JPMorgan Strategist Says Fed Rate Hike Will Restore Credibility
Stephanie Aliaga argues that the upcoming Federal Reserve rate hike will re-establish the central bank's credibility in global markets.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
All 2 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 16 Sept, 18:03 UTC | 100% |
| 16 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 85% |
| 16 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 85% |
| 16 Sept, 16:53 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 14:22 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 12:02 UTC | 89% |
| 16 Sept, 11:26 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 10:54 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 08:55 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 08:28 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 07:15 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 86% |
| 16 Sept, 05:49 UTC | 87% |
| 16 Sept, 04:43 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 04:19 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 03:51 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 03:27 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Sept, 02:52 UTC | 89% |
| 16 Sept, 01:14 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 23:25 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Sept, 22:15 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 21:13 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 87% |
| 15 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 87% |
| 15 Sept, 15:26 UTC | 87% |
| 15 Sept, 14:17 UTC | 87% |
| 15 Sept, 13:53 UTC | 87% |
| 15 Sept, 13:25 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 12:19 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Sept, 11:47 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 11:04 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 10:56 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 10:06 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 07:06 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 04:14 UTC | 87% |
| 15 Sept, 02:19 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 01:39 UTC | 89% |
| 15 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 88% |
| 15 Sept, 00:49 UTC | 89% |
| 14 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 89% |
| 14 Sept, 21:49 UTC | 88% |
| 14 Sept, 21:12 UTC | 89% |
| 14 Sept, 20:39 UTC | 88% |
| 14 Sept, 19:38 UTC | 88% |
| 14 Sept, 19:22 UTC | 87% |
| 14 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Sept, 16:43 UTC | 84% |
| 14 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 84% |
| 14 Sept, 15:25 UTC | 84% |
| 14 Sept, 14:49 UTC | 84% |
| 14 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 82% |
| 14 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 81% |
| 14 Sept, 06:46 UTC | 80% |
| 14 Sept, 04:29 UTC | 80% |
| 14 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 79% |
| 13 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 78% |
| 13 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 78% |
| 13 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 79% |
| 13 Sept, 17:01 UTC | 80% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 79% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 83% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 10 Sept 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 10 September at 15:20 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 11 September at 07:39 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? — resolved “Yes” on 16 Sept 2026.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — resolved “Yes” on 16 Sept 2026.
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? — resolved “No” on 16 Sept 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes 39d ago
The market favoured Yes at 91% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 39d ago
Wrong market?
- Resolved Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No 39d ago
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Stephanie Aliaga
- JPMorgan Asset Management
- Fed