Israel's Arab parties could be kingmakers in election
Arab political groups aim to influence the government formation process.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 9 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 35% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 15 Oct 2026. The Economist published first, on 15 October at 12:50 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Religious Zionist Party — the market puts it at 35%, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if a coalition including the Religious Zionist Party forms the next elected Israeli government before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked UK Green Party vote for the relevant event, but only the formation of an Israeli government counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Religious Zionist Party 35%
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