Israel-Lebanon Talks Postponed as Explosions Rock Southern Lebanon
President Aoun cancels negotiations with Israel following explosions in southern Lebanon.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 16 Sept, 02:45 UTC | 100% |
| 16 Sept, 02:14 UTC | 99% |
| 16 Sept, 01:45 UTC | 99% |
| 16 Sept, 01:14 UTC | 99% |
| 16 Sept, 00:46 UTC | 99% |
| 16 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 98% |
| 15 Sept, 21:31 UTC | 98% |
| 15 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 98% |
| 15 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 97% |
| 15 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 96% |
| 15 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 95% |
| 15 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 95% |
| 15 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 96% |
| 15 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 94% |
| 15 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 93% |
| 15 Sept, 16:43 UTC | 94% |
| 15 Sept, 16:27 UTC | 94% |
| 15 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 93% |
| 15 Sept, 15:26 UTC | 94% |
| 15 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 93% |
| 15 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 94% |
| 15 Sept, 13:44 UTC | 96% |
| 15 Sept, 13:25 UTC | 95% |
| 15 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 92% |
| 15 Sept, 12:29 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Sept, 11:31 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Sept, 10:56 UTC | 81% |
| 15 Sept, 10:24 UTC | 81% |
| 15 Sept, 09:50 UTC | 79% |
| 15 Sept, 09:27 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Sept, 08:53 UTC | 80% |
| 15 Sept, 08:23 UTC | 84% |
| 15 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 84% |
| 15 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 83% |
| 15 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 86% |
| 15 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 82% |
| 15 Sept, 05:23 UTC | 80% |
| 15 Sept, 04:58 UTC | 81% |
| 15 Sept, 04:14 UTC | 83% |
| 15 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 83% |
| 15 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 83% |
| 15 Sept, 02:53 UTC | 84% |
| 15 Sept, 02:03 UTC | 84% |
| 15 Sept, 01:55 UTC | 79% |
| 15 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 83% |
| 15 Sept, 00:56 UTC | 81% |
| 15 Sept, 00:21 UTC | 83% |
| 14 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 82% |
| 14 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 82% |
| 14 Sept, 22:52 UTC | 86% |
| 14 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 83% |
| 14 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 80% |
| 14 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 62% |
| 14 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 71% |
| 14 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 71% |
| 14 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 63% |
| 14 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 65% |
| 14 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 58% |
| 14 Sept, 17:53 UTC | 59% |
| 14 Sept, 17:29 UTC | 59% |
| 14 Sept, 16:07 UTC | 68% |
| 14 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 65% |
| 14 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 60% |
| 14 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 54% |
| 14 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 48% |
| 14 Sept, 13:10 UTC | 71% |
| 14 Sept, 12:43 UTC | 73% |
| 14 Sept, 12:27 UTC | 76% |
| 14 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 10:37 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 09:40 UTC | 76% |
| 14 Sept, 06:46 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 06:28 UTC | 76% |
| 14 Sept, 05:32 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 05:02 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 04:21 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 75% |
| 14 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 74% |
| 14 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 75% |
| 13 Sept, 23:28 UTC | 75% |
| 13 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 21:48 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 75% |
| 13 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 74% |
| 13 Sept, 19:26 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 18:36 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 71% |
| 13 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 73% |
| 13 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 14:52 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 12:45 UTC | 75% |
| 13 Sept, 12:07 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 11:05 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 09:13 UTC | 77% |
| 13 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 75% |
| 13 Sept, 08:17 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 07:53 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 06:53 UTC | 76% |
| 13 Sept, 05:09 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Sept, 04:49 UTC | 80% |
| 13 Sept, 04:26 UTC | 81% |
| 13 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 80% |
| 12 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 79% |
| 12 Sept, 22:26 UTC | 83% |
| 12 Sept, 21:51 UTC | 82% |
| 12 Sept, 20:52 UTC | 80% |
| 12 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 83% |
| 12 Sept, 19:45 UTC | 77% |
| 12 Sept, 18:53 UTC | 77% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 73% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 12 Sept 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 12 September at 11:04 UTC. The most recent article, from Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera, appeared on 12 September at 19:56 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? — resolved “Yes” on 16 Sept 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? Yes 42d ago
The market favoured Yes at 83% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- Israel
- Lebanon
- Aoun