Indonesia’s Populist Experiment Wavers as Prabowo Faces Crashing Approval Ratings
Approval ratings for Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto are falling, raising questions about his response to the political shift.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 13:07 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 11:43 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 04:25 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 12:29 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 06:59 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Oct, 01:18 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 13:40 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 6% |
| 21 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 01:17 UTC | 5% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 14:10 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 12:46 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 06:13 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 5% |
| 19 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 02:01 UTC | 4% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 20:13 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 10:01 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 5% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Oct, 20:25 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 6% |
| 17 Oct, 07:47 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 5% |
| 17 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 5% |
| 16 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Oct, 11:00 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 2 articles since 20 Oct 2026. The Economist published first, on 20 October at 16:28 UTC. The most recent article, from The Economist, appeared on 22 October at 12:59 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? — the market puts it at 5%, with $263 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Prabowo Subianto stops being President at any point before December 31, 2026, including through resignation, removal, or detention. An official announcement of his departure triggers an immediate Yes resolution, even if the change takes effect later. Readers often mistake the deadline for when he actually leaves office rather than when the event occurs.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026? 5%
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In this story
- Prabowo Subianto
- Indonesia