Hurricane Isaias Strengthens to Category 2 as USS Lincoln Troops Return Home
The storm intensifies while military personnel aboard the USS Lincoln conclude their deployment.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 21:13 UTC | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 94% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 92% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 95% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 97% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 92% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 8 October at 22:30 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Category 2 or above — resolved “Yes” on 9 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Hurricane Isaias achieves maximum sustained winds of at least 96 mph. It resolves to No if the storm never reaches that wind speed threshold. Readers often mistake the category rating for the resolution criteria, but only the specific wind speed measurement determines the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Resolved Category 2 or above Yes 1h ago
The market favoured Yes at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- USS Lincoln