Final Trump Arch Plans Omit Proposed Military Complex
Submitted site plans for the monument do not include military features previously announced by President Trump.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 15 Oct, 19:42 UTC | 51% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 67% |
| 8 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 65% |
| 4 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 58% |
| 4 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 63% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Sept, 13:48 UTC | 60% |
| 29 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 67% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 21:57 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 69% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 76% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Sept, 20:32 UTC | 62% |
| 25 Sept, 19:25 UTC | 55% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 54% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 51% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 58% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 17 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 17 October at 14:45 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 51%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C., after the issuance date and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the proposal itself for the start of construction.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 51%
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Interior Department
- National Capital Planning Commission