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England beat Greece 3-1 in Women's World Cup playoff first leg

Goals from Stanway, Le Tissier and Russo secure a 3-1 victory despite a Greek response.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 9 Oct 2026 · updated 3h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · England advances
0%50%100%96%8 Oct, 15:37 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: Lionesses take firm control of World Cup playoff tie against Greece · 9 Oct, 18:46 UTCBBC Sport: Greek takeaways: What did we learn from Lionesses' win? · 9 Oct, 21:15 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now96%
9 Oct, 23:25 UTC96%
9 Oct, 18:28 UTC98%
9 Oct, 15:48 UTC96%
8 Oct, 15:37 UTC95%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 9 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 9 October at 18:46 UTC; BBC Sport followed 2h 29m later. The most recent article, from BBC Sport, appeared on 9 October at 21:15 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • England advances — the market puts it at 96%, with $71 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if England advances past Greece in their FIFA World Cup Qualifiers tie. It resolves to No if they do not advance. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the first leg, but the outcome depends on the aggregate result of both legs.
  • Will Greece win on 2026-10-13? — the market puts it at 3%, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 13 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the match scheduled for October 13, 2026, based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game is canceled without a make-up match or if Greece does not win. Readers often mistake the final aggregate score or extra time results as the deciding factor, but only the outcome at the end of regular time counts.
  • Reg Time: Tie — the market puts it at 3%, closing 15 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the England versus Greece match ends in a tie after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time. It resolves to No if either team wins or if the game does not take place as scheduled. Readers often mistake the final result after extra time or penalties for the official outcome.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Lionesses take firm control of World Cup playoff tie against Greece The Guardian Sport ·
  2. Greek takeaways: What did we learn from Lionesses' win? BBC Sport

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi England advances 96% $71 24hends 15 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Greece win on 2026-10-13? 3% $13 24hends 13 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Reg Time: Tie 3% $0 24hends 15 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • England
  • Greece
  • Georgia Stanway
  • Maya Le Tissier
  • Alessia Russo
  • Ioanna Papatheodorou
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