Denisovan features revealed as Ebola vaccine trial nears start
New research identifies distinct physical traits of Denisovans while a vaccine trial for Ebola is set to begin in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 20% |
| 20 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 27% |
| 18 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 15% |
| 17 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 18% |
| 15 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 20% |
| 14 Oct, 02:35 UTC | 19% |
| 14 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 20% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 15% |
| 10 Oct, 17:15 UTC | 18% |
| 10 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 17% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 18% |
| 8 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 16% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 16% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 28% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 23% |
| 6 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 17% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 28% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 04:42 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 18% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. Nature published first, on 22 October at 00:00 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Republic of the Congo — the market puts it at 20%, with $95 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in the Republic of the Congo is officially reported between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about DR Congo for the relevant region, but only cases in the Republic of the Congo count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Republic of the Congo 20% −3
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In this story
- Denisovans
- Democratic Republic of the Congo