Crowley and Tiffany Clash in Wisconsin Governor Debate
The candidates debated hot-button issues including the 2020 election results and Democratic Socialists of America.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 15:41 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 23:20 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Oct, 16:26 UTC | 21% |
| 22 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 20% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 20% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 20% |
| 21 Oct, 04:52 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 19% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 20% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 01:45 UTC | 17% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 22 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 22 October at 03:42 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Tom Tiffany — the market puts it at 21%, with $7k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin after the 2026 election. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the debate headline for the final outcome, but only the official inauguration matters.
- At least 48% — the market puts it at 25%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Tom Tiffany receives at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if he receives less than 48%. Readers often mistake the debate headline for the actual election result, but only the certified final vote count matters.
- At least 56% — the market puts it at 25%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if David Crowley receives at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. The final decision depends on the certified results of that specific election. Readers often mistake the debate headline for the actual voting outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Tom Tiffany 21%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi At least 48% 25%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi At least 56% 25%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- David Crowley
- Tom Tiffany
- Tony Evers