Citi Wins Approval for China Securities Business Ahead of Trump-Xi Meeting
The bank receives regulatory clearance to operate in the country, coinciding with preparations for a diplomatic summit between US and Chinese leaders.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 6% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 12% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Sept, 09:14 UTC | 8% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 23 October at 10:40 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- China — the market puts it at 6%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade deal with China becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the announcement of talks for the actual passage of legislation.
- Xi Jinping — the market puts it at 11%, with $149 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet via any method, including a phone call, during October 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the meeting must occur before or after that specific month.
- Before Dec 1, 2026 — the market puts it at 91%, closing 1 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays in China between now and December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not make such a trip within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about tariff cuts for the actual condition, but only his physical presence in China counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi China 6%
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- Kalshi Xi Jinping 11% +1
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- Kalshi Before Dec 1, 2026 91%
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In this story
- Citi
- Donald Trump
- Xi Jinping