China's 25 Trillion-Yuan Infrastructure Plan Could Offset Weaknesses
BofA Global Research estimates the plan will generate 5 trillion yuan annually to help offset property and infrastructure weakness.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 14% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 17% |
| 5 Oct, 00:11 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 07:19 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 15% |
| 30 Sept, 02:28 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 00:10 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 14% |
| 28 Sept, 10:44 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 15% |
| 28 Sept, 02:41 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 15% |
| 27 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 13% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 20% |
| 26 Sept, 06:32 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 17% |
| 25 Sept, 04:56 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 14% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 17% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 8 October at 03:33 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- By 2030 — the market puts it at 14%, closing 1 Jan 2030. The market resolves to Yes if China's gross domestic product exceeds that of the United States by the year 2030. It resolves to No if China's GDP does not surpass the US total within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about rare earth processing for the actual resolution criteria, but only GDP figures determine the outcome.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi By 2030 14%
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In this story
- China
- BofA Global Research
- Helen Qiao