China-Peru Upgraded Trade Deal Takes Effect
The upgraded free-trade agreement between China and Peru entered into force on Sunday, expanding rules on e-commerce and supply chains.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 07:11 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 21:46 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 17% |
| 31 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 15% |
| 29 Oct, 13:15 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 14% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 17% |
| 26 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 14% |
| 24 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 14% |
| 21 Oct, 22:02 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 15% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 17% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 14% |
| 13 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 17% |
| 11 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 14% |
| 9 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 19% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 21% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 16% |
| 5 Oct, 03:07 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Sept, 11:11 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Sept, 23:01 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 20:43 UTC | 14% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Sept, 05:25 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Nov 2026. Bloomberg Technology published first, on 1 November at 03:33 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before Jan 20, 2029 — the market puts it at 16%, with $17 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if a free trade agreement with China becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 20, 2029. The outcome depends strictly on the legal enactment of this specific agreement, not on news reports about trade volumes like coal purchases.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
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- Kalshi Before Jan 20, 2029 16% +1
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In this story
- China
- Peru