Bond Selloff Accelerates as OpenAI Weighs Slowdown
A bond selloff accelerates while OpenAI considers a slowdown in its operations.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
All 3 sources published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 11:18 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 09:38 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 02:57 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 3% |
| 27 Sept, 08:42 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 06:01 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 3% |
| 23 Sept, 02:38 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 14:19 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 13:42 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 11:00 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 10:08 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 3% |
| 22 Sept, 02:40 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 14:48 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 13:39 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 12:23 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 04:50 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 01:35 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 18:52 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 17:29 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 13:43 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 10:28 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 08:15 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 07:53 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 06:58 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 06:05 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 05:59 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 04:53 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 03:56 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 02:34 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 02:27 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 01:31 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Sept, 00:28 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 20:17 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 19:42 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 19:04 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 16:42 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 15:14 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Sept, 04:51 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Sept, 01:42 UTC | 6% |
| 15 Sept, 13:09 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 07:31 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Sept, 06:32 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 3 articles since 11 Sept 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 11 September at 05:45 UTC. The most recent article, from Bloomberg Markets, appeared on 11 September at 06:11 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? — the market puts it at 3%, with $536 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? — resolved “No” on 1 Oct 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Resolved Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? No 27d ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
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