Bipartisan Anti-Fraud Bills Await Senate Action During Lame Duck Session
Three bipartisan House-passed anti-fraud bills await Senate action as the federal deficit reaches $2 trillion in 2026.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 11% |
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| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 10% |
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| 9 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 10% |
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| 7 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 10% |
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| 7 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 10% |
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| 7 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 11% |
| 7 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 14:26 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 9% |
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| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 9% |
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| 6 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 8% |
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| 5 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 8% |
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| 5 Oct, 18:42 UTC | 8% |
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| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 8% |
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| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 8% |
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| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 8% |
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| 27 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 7% |
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| 24 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 8% |
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| 23 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 17:11 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 8% |
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| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 14:40 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 10:42 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 09:28 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 9% |
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| 22 Sept, 06:59 UTC | 9% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 14 Oct 2026. The Hill News published first, on 14 October at 11:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Republicans sweep — the market puts it at 11%, with $253k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Feb 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Republicans control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections. It resolves to No if they fail to hold at least one of those chambers. Readers often mistake current polling data for the final election results, but only the actual seat counts matter.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House — the market puts it at 63%, with $49k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Democrats control both the Senate and the House in the 120th Congress, which begins after the 2026 midterm election. It resolves to No if either chamber is controlled by Republicans or another party.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Republicans sweep 11% +1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House 63%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Congress
- House