Bank of England Quantitative Tightening Could Cost Treasury £120bn
The Bank of England warns its quantitative tightening policy may cost the Treasury £120bn, blurring monetary and fiscal lines.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 17 Sept, 18:02 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 28% |
| 17 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 32% |
| 17 Sept, 16:41 UTC | 38% |
| 17 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 38% |
| 17 Sept, 15:17 UTC | 37% |
| 17 Sept, 14:51 UTC | 34% |
| 17 Sept, 14:09 UTC | 31% |
| 17 Sept, 13:01 UTC | 42% |
| 17 Sept, 12:35 UTC | 41% |
| 17 Sept, 12:28 UTC | 35% |
| 17 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 34% |
| 17 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 35% |
| 17 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 38% |
| 17 Sept, 09:55 UTC | 33% |
| 17 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 31% |
| 17 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 31% |
| 17 Sept, 08:19 UTC | 31% |
| 17 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 32% |
| 17 Sept, 07:28 UTC | 31% |
| 17 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 32% |
| 17 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 30% |
| 17 Sept, 05:58 UTC | 24% |
| 17 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 47% |
| 16 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 48% |
| 16 Sept, 13:35 UTC | 49% |
| 16 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 49% |
| 16 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 49% |
| 16 Sept, 11:40 UTC | 45% |
| 16 Sept, 09:26 UTC | 50% |
| 15 Sept, 22:04 UTC | 51% |
| 15 Sept, 21:39 UTC | 52% |
| 15 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 56% |
| 15 Sept, 18:38 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Sept, 18:38 UTC | 52% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 15 Sept 2026. The Guardian Business published first, on 15 September at 17:58 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? — the market puts it at 27%, with $5k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 5 Nov 2026.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? 27% −22
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In this story
- Bank of England
- Labour
- Treasury