Australia collapse to follow on against South Africa in Gqeberha Test
The tourists were dismissed for 99, forcing them to follow on and leaving them chasing a target of 170 runs with only one day remaining.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 04:19 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 01:17 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 41% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 21 Oct 2026. BBC Sport published first, on 21 October at 12:21 UTC; The Guardian Sport followed 4h 29m later. The most recent article, from The Guardian Sport, appeared on 21 October at 16:49 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian Sport (major outlet), BBC Sport.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Australia win? — the market puts it at 0%, with $15k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 25 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Australia wins the scheduled Test match against South Africa, including any result decided by on-field tiebreaks or standard rulings like DRS. It resolves to No if South Africa wins or if the match ends in a draw.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Australia win? 0% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?