Will Australia win?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$18k
Total volume$33k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 08:58 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 04:19 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 01:38 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 01:17 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 41% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Australia wins the scheduled Test match against South Africa, including any result decided by on-field tiebreaks or standard rulings like DRS. It resolves to No if South Africa wins or if the match ends in a draw.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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