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Atlantic Hurricane Season Ends Without a Single Storm for First Time in Records

The Atlantic basin experiences its first hurricane-less season since reliable records began, driven by El Niño conditions that suppress storm formation.

3 publishers · 4 articles · first seen 10 Sept 2026 · updated 44d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

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The odds

How the odds moved · Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
0%50%100%0%11 Sept, 18:39 UTCnowHacker News: No Atlantic hurricanes by Sept. 12 breaks a 60-year record · 12 Sept, 23:44 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story · 3 more published before price tracking began

Price data
TimeChance of yes
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The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 10 Sept 2026. Scientific American published first, on 10 September at 15:25 UTC; Sky News followed 23h 13m later. The most recent article, from Hacker News, appeared on 12 September at 23:44 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Scientific American, Sky News, Hacker News.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? — resolved “No” on 8 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if no Atlantic storms reach hurricane strength between now and November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if at least one storm hits that threshold during the same period. Readers often mistake the deadline or ignore the rule that an initial National Hurricane Center advisory counts even if later reports downgrade the storm.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

  1. Scientific AmericanThe Pacific is being beset by hurricane after hurricane—why is the Atlantic so quiet?—
  2. Scientific AmericanThe Atlantic hurricane season just quietly broke a new weather record—
  3. Sky NewsAtlantic Ocean has seen no hurricanes so far this season - this is why—
  4. Hacker NewsNo Atlantic hurricanes by Sept. 12 breaks a 60-year record36%
  5. Market resolved: No

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Atlantic Ocean has seen no hurricanes so far this season - this is why Sky News
  2. The Atlantic hurricane season just quietly broke a new weather record Scientific American
  3. The Pacific is being beset by hurricane after hurricane—why is the Atlantic so quiet? Scientific American
  4. No Atlantic hurricanes by Sept. 12 breaks a 60-year record Hacker News

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? No 18d ago

    The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Atlantic Ocean
  • Pacific Ocean
  • El Nino
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