Andrew Garfield Plays Sam Altman in Luca Guadagnino’s ‘Artificial’
Luca Guadagnino’s film depicts OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as a manipulative figure during his brief firing and rehiring in 2023.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 23:39 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 4% |
| 13 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 12% |
| 12 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 19% |
| 12 Oct, 03:37 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 03:18 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 12% |
| 12 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 17% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 18% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 14% |
| 11 Oct, 00:51 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Oct, 16:41 UTC | 14% |
| 10 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 7% |
| 10 Oct, 02:39 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Oct, 00:39 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 03:40 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 5% |
| 6 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 18% |
| 6 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 3% |
| 6 Oct, 01:44 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Oct, 13:32 UTC | 14% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 10 Oct 2026. The A.V. Club published first, on 10 October at 17:00 UTC; Variety followed 31h 36m later. The most recent article, from Variety, appeared on 12 October at 00:36 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Variety (major outlet), The A.V. Club.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Andrew Garfield — the market puts it at 7%, with $6k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Andrew Garfield receives a nomination for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not receive such a nomination. Readers often mistake the release of the film or general buzz for a nomination, but only an official Academy nomination counts.
- Andrew Garfield — the market puts it at 27%, with $134 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Andrew Garfield wins the Best Supporting Actor award at the 99th Academy Awards. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific category. Readers often mistake the deadline for the ceremony date rather than the official announcement time.
- Andrew Garfield — the market puts it at 18%, closing 3 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Andrew Garfield wins Best Supporting Actor at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake other awards or nominations for this specific Critics Choice Award.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Andrew Garfield 7%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Andrew Garfield 27% −4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Andrew Garfield 18%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Andrew Garfield
- Sam Altman
- OpenAI
- Luca Guadagnino