2026 US Midterms Could Be Most Expensive on Record as Macron Condemns French Protests
More than $15 billion has been raised for the midterm elections while France's president condemns violent protests erupting across the country.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 1% |
| 19 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 2% |
| 19 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 3% |
| 19 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 20:06 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 19:10 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 3% |
| 18 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 4% |
| 18 Oct, 16:38 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 16:24 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 15:08 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 11:40 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 11:40 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 17:29 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 11:58 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 11:09 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 09:47 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 09:06 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 22:29 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 2% |
| 13 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 21:17 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 1% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 19 Oct 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 19 October at 11:15 UTC; The Dispatch followed 23h 22m later. The most recent article, from The Dispatch, appeared on 20 October at 10:37 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: NPR Politics (major outlet), The Dispatch.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? — the market puts it at 1%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. Yes resolves if Emmanuel Macron permanently leaves his office before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. No resolves if he remains in power through that deadline or serves only as a caretaker. Readers often mistake temporary suspensions or resignation announcements for permanent removal.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Macron