Aryna Sabalenka
The market favoured No at 100% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 1% |
| 3 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 0% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aryna Sabalenka wins the 2026 WTA Beijing professional tennis tournament. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific event. Readers often mistake this for any recent tournament, but only victory at the 2026 WTA Beijing counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%