Marco Rubio
Implied probability 2%+1
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$347k
Liquidity$347k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 19:50 UTC | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Marco Rubio officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about David Rivera as relevant to this outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%