Donald Trump
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$566
Total volume$357k
Liquidity$357k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 13:03 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 11:57 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistakenly believe that any informal influence or temporary control counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%