Cuba
Implied probability 6%−1
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$48k
Liquidity$48k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 24 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 13:12 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically enters Cuba between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not make such a visit within that timeframe. Readers often mistake general policy statements or diplomatic meetings for actual physical presence in the country.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%