Russia
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a level 3 or lower travel advisory for Russia before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the date of issuance rather than the date the advisory is active.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 96%