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Republican party

Implied probability 88%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
How the odds moved · Republican party
0%50%100%88%22 Sept, 15:44 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now88%
22 Sept, 15:44 UTC88%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the Republican party wins control of the Maine State Senate in the 2026 election. The outcome is No if they do not win control. Readers often mistake this for a single-seat race or confuse the winner with the incumbent mentioned in the linked story.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 88%
  • No 12%

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