Parti Québécois
Why it moved: −12 points at 22:21 UTC, after France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Quebec votes as separatist surge poses test for Canada PM — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 5 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Parti Québécois ranks second in the 2026 Quebec general election based on certified results. The outcome is No if the party does not finish in that position. Readers often mistake the date of the vote for the resolution deadline, but the market waits for the official certification of the final results.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%