Oil
Implied probability 67%+3
24-hour volume$31
Total volume$54k
Liquidity$54k
Resolves30 Dec 2032
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 12 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 67% |
| 12 Nov, 05:55 UTC | 65% |
| 12 Nov, 00:11 UTC | 67% |
| 11 Nov, 08:37 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Nov, 02:20 UTC | 68% |
| 11 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 67% |
| 10 Nov, 05:49 UTC | 60% |
| 8 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 61% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if oil remains the top source of global primary energy consumption in 2030. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the year for a different time frame or confuse primary energy with total energy use.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%