Republican party
Implied probability 60%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves7 Nov 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 60% |
| 8 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Nov, 07:29 UTC | 62% |
| 8 Nov, 05:10 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Nov, 02:55 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 02:43 UTC | 75% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Republican Party wins the most electoral votes in Texas during the 2028 presidential election. It resolves to No if they do not. Readers often mistake this for a state-level legislative or gubernatorial race, but it depends solely on the presidential popular vote in Texas.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 60%
- No 40%