Elon Musk
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$25k
Total volume$1.5M
Liquidity$1.5M
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 0% |
| 24 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Elon Musk wins the Republican presidential nomination in 2028 and accepts it. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about a Pentagon study for the actual nomination event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%