Wild Horse Nine
Implied probability 87%−3
24-hour volume$51
Total volume$51k
Liquidity$51k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 87% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 87% |
| 30 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 88% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 93% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 90% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film *Wild Horse Nine* receives a nomination for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release date or critical acclaim for the official criterion; only the formal Oscar nomination list matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 87%
- No 13%